Now that Boris has made the fatal announcement (before consulting Parliament), there will be no going back. Indeed, already certain sources are puffing the idea that the lockdown will not end in December . . .
So I have done my own research into the latest figures for Wk 43, to see if anything has changed since week 42.
The Public Health England week 44 (up to week 43) (download here) “flu-like” report shows Covid positive tests ever-rising – so maybe we have it (or maybe we don’t - the test isn't definitive and is known to give false positive results anyway), but if we aren’t getting sick then who cares? As usual these meaningless numbers are analysed every which way, but can’t tell us who is sick and who is not. They are a travesty.
So if we want hard facts we must look to the hardest facts presented which may be the most difficult to fudge - deaths.
“Covid” deaths are shown rising (continuing the trajectory evident for week 42), “flu” deaths are still flat-lining as close to zero as may be, and “excess deaths from all causes” now rising just slightly above the expectation for this time of year. However, ...