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2024-02-19

The cynical might say that beyond 2030 our wonderful "decarbonised" grid as promised by a certain political party not noted for its mathematical prowess (so take your pick of a wide range) will provide a wholly rosy future of CO2-less power on tap - provided that we don't need it when it doesn't happen to be there.

Not so, cries the Head of Energy at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (an oxymoron if ever there was one), who it appears may be similarly afflicted in the maths prowess department.

So what is the truth of it, as far as the available evidence suggests (the future being an inherently uncertain field where predictions are concerned)?

David Turver reports for the Daily Sceptic (warning - numbers and graphs incoming! Those of a non-numerate persuasion should bolt for their "safe space" now. The rest might be well advised to commission and invest in local power generation facilities immediately).

Sadly, it's actually even worse than that.

David's analysis is predicated on demand for power remaining roughly constant over the coming years (horizontal red dotted line) - but that isn't likely, as the Government (of whatever stripe) is always hot for the latest technological innovation, and that just happens to be (you've guessed it) very hungry for power. So on the one hand our government will be throttling our power grid whilst on the other it will be investing in the power-hungry "white heat of technology".

(This is not financial advice!)