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2021-09-14

GWPF gives evidence to the House of Lords inquiry into the Costs of Net Zero

"The GWPF has repeatedly drawn attention to growing evidence that casts doubt on official estimates of the costs and feasibility of renewable energy to reduce CO2 emissions to meet the targets implied in the Climate Change Act (2008) and more recently the 2050 Net Zero target that has replaced it"

Read the full GWPF press release.

This is a very calm and careful inquisition by the Committee of Dr Constable, well worthwhile and can be viewed either by following the link from the press release, or from the link below.

"It's perfectly rational to have a decarbonisation policy, but the decarbonisation policy must itself be rational. In essence, this is an insurance policy, and thus it must pass the basic tests of any insurance policy: it must provide real cover, the premium must be proportional to risk ... in so far as one understands it, and the premium must be affordable in itself. In our view, and in my view personally, ... the climate policies do not pass any of these tests"

Catch the full exchange (1 hr 55 mins) on parliamentlive.tv.


As if to underline the point, the latest press release from the GWPF notes the huge energy costs spike that transpires "when the wind stops blowing" (as it has recently), and not just in the UK but across Europe.

'It took a lot of people by surprise,' said Stefan Konstantinov, senior energy economist ..."

Well well, who would have thought it?

2021-09-07

I know this because I took advantage to get back into the saddle and pedal my way around the local topography, resplendent in green and brown (the farmers were busy harvesting) and generally beautiful to the eye and challenging to the legs in equal measure.

It was a day when the call for power should have been pretty low, since no heating would be required, although perhaps there was some demand for air-conditioning. 

Anyway, the sunshine was abundant and surely all those solar panels would be pumping the electric juice?

Apparently not. It seems that solar was meeting less than 12% of our energy needs, and wind-power not even 2%. Gas was meeting just under 50% of demand but at a high price amid high global demand (if it's high now, how much higher will demand climb in the winter?).

In fact the power supply situation was so dire that the UK had to ask EDF to fire up a coal-fired power station.

So we in the UK, as many have been predicting for years, now have the worst of all worlds - high power costs allied with low power resilience.

Should we be worried?

The GWPF has the story.

Paul Spare writing for Brexit Watch provides further background.

Why am I always drawn back to the common thread that undoubtedly underpins our government's approach to both Covid and Climate - the determination to pursue a specific political agenda regardless of all arguments to the contrary and all the well-qualified voices who deserve a proper hearing? 

 

2021-09-01

Climate Discussion Nexus investigates - the Antarctic? the Arctic? Greenland? Bangladesh? Well, no - the troposphere. More precisely, the tropical troposphere. 

What were the 2007 IPCC predictions predicting? and what happened according to the temperature data measurements?

"... basic problem with models is that they are not based upon fundamental physics, they are based upon approximations of what happens in the atmosphere ..."

 

Like / Dislike this video here.

2021-08-20

The GWPF (Global Warming Policy Forum) thinks that it probably does. They believe that the government's prioritising of Wind and Solar renewables (both intermittent and inherently unreliable) over a robust combination of renewables underpinned by reliable thermodynamic power sources such as natural gas and nuclear, will likely cost the UK our geopolitical status, since the affordable and reliable availability of power underpins confidence in our economic and global leadership.

This is a concept that China and India, both intent on building more coal-fired power-stations, fully understand.

I would hesitate to place all our reliable power generation eggs in the nuclear basket however - whilst small modular reactors are fine in principle, Windscale is still home to ponds full of spent nuclear fuel that nobody seems either to know what to do with or to want to talk about, and until that problem is solved I have little confidence in the idea that distributing our nuclear waste output over a large number of small modular reactors is going to change the underlying problem of safe disposal of the waste that will assuredly be produced.

At least we know how to mitigate or remove the CO2 produced by combustion of natural gas - plant growth! There are plenty of deserts around the world that with a bit of imaginative terra-forming might be put to good use, even if we (misguidedly?) accept that more CO2 is bad for the planet.

And whilst deserts are in short supply in the UK, are there not host countries around the world that might welcome our assistance in making some of their hitherto desert land-mass economically productive?

2021-08-12

The GWPF (Global Warming Policy Forum) press release notes the oncoming political pressures on the Conservative Party if Boris continues with his stated plans to move the UK to "Net Zero".

As most normal people know, the costs will be vast and will fall disproportionately on the ordinary citizenry.

Even if the government ministers and their advisers haven't noticed, Tory MPs have and are making their views felt.

Whilst this is good news, a loss to Labour at the next election doesn't seem likely to redress the situation in the eyes of the voters since the Left are perhaps even more determined to push ahead with "green" initiatives than the Right, so the calculation may be that the public has no choice and will get the green agenda whether they like it or not, all other things being equal.

Of course, all other things may not be equal. My guess is that the fall-out from the US Elections scandal and the surrounding events will turn out to be catastrophic to a great many cherished agendas that have hitherto appeared unstoppable, and we are about to enter some very "interesting times" indeed.